No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $31.39
- Potential payout
- $33.48
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Polymarket Trader
cookiecan
0x6e46bc063a1d647fe1dad17eb49de0177afceb28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.36
- Realized PnL
- $23.66
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.51
- Potential profit
- $11.51
- User PnL
- -$10.82
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $6.07
- Potential payout
- $7.88
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Solana ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Solana all time high in Q4?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will $cult launch in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will none of the named coins be listed on Binance in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Linea airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Solana ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
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Yes position
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 96.8% 34.11 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 97.3% 999.62 shares
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Anyones Legend 53% 56.6 shares
- US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes 26% 7.38 shares
- Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes 45% 9 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No 97.7% 10 shares
- US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes 58% 7.38 shares
- Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes 70% 9 shares
- Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes 94% 6 shares
- Solana ETF approved in 2025?Yes 89.9% 8.65 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 97.6% 8,064.12 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 97.7% 8,064.12 shares