Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.37K
- Potential profit
- $9.37K
- User PnL
- -$246.48
Polymarket Trader
lox-frogs
0x6e4976c274384ada57ae03b75e463585ad01f1af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.21K
- Realized PnL
- $28.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.57K
- Potential profit
- $6.57K
- User PnL
- -$176.73
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.17K
- Potential profit
- $6.17K
- User PnL
- -$17.12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.39K
- Potential profit
- $4.39K
- User PnL
- -$9.37
Yes position
Will a candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election in the first round?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- User PnL
- -$4.36
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- User PnL
- -$17.27
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$11.7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$127.16
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$20.06
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $161.38
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$146.23
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- User PnL
- -$514.96
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $138.22
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- -$191.65
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$131.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $547.98
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$156.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$17.13
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$94.66
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $217.67
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $895.73
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- $12.27
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$16.67
No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$40.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $976
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $19
No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $998
- Potential profit
- $998
- User PnL
- -$39.92
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $120.69
- Potential payout
- $997.46
- Potential profit
- $876.77
- Multiplier
- 8.26x
- User PnL
- -$45.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.28
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $842.3
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $745.2
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $685.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $566.75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.93
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.14
Yes position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $529
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.81
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.24
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $517.83
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $488.92
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $481.99
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.35
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.03
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $468.18
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.74
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.99
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $455.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.14
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.38
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.28
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $417.31
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $400.19
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $394.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $387.59
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.77
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.92
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.61
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $371.6
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $366.18
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.19
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.98
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.45
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $341.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $337.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $333.46
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $332.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $329.29
Yes position
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $327.48
Yes position
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 9% 580.83 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 68.8% 494 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 68% 195.34 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes 99.9% 354.99 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes 99.9% 25.69 shares
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland 99.9% 87.62 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 99.9% 220.88 shares
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland 92% 87.62 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?No 5% 397.48 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 8.7% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 63% 143.12 shares