Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.16
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$296.84
Polymarket Trader
alethe
0x6e5ab1cc9c923d842561f7ebfae8705310ecabf8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $588.91
- Realized PnL
- -$3.11K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $140.98
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $915.05
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- -$59.02
Yes position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $228.55
- Potential payout
- $643.8
- Potential profit
- $415.25
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $28.55
Yes position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $213.27
- Potential payout
- $495.99
- Potential profit
- $282.71
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $13.27
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $492.14
- Potential profit
- $489.18
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$185.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.34
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$144
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$152.04
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 2% 31.41 shares
- Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?Yes 6.4% 615.89 shares
- Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?Yes 6.2% 161.66 shares
- Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?Yes 6.1% 164.75 shares
- Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes 22.7% 635.5 shares
- Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 38.9% 256.83 shares
- Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 37.5% 266.72 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 40.7% 245.99 shares
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 40% 250 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 21.3% 469.37 shares
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 17% 586.67 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 32.8% 305.02 shares