Polymarket Trader

Kosmokrator

@TradFiHater

0x6e612d34193234df1eabf5f3417d31b55cdba88a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.15K
Realized PnL: $2.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $849.63
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $116.2

Yes position

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $734.32
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $452.76

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $63.79
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$43.79

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $843.74
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $406.25
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $206.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $104.25
Potential payout: $758.15
Potential profit: $653.9
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$14.83

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $74.66
Potential payout: $758
Potential profit: $683.34
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$21.6

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $650.02
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$6.02

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $310.7
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $239.31
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $60.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $439.75
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $54.56
Potential payout: $410.21
Potential profit: $355.65
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: $10.85

Yes position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.81
Potential profit: $192.81
User PnL: -$25.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.11

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.95

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.31

Yes position

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.1

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.15

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Nationals

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.47

Orioles position

Athletics vs. Orioles

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.81

Padres position

Padres vs. Giants

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.26

Marlins position

Astros vs. Marlins

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.56

Cardinals position

Cubs vs. Cardinals

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.65

Blue Jays position

Blue Jays vs. Rockies

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.42

Red Sox position

Royals vs. Red Sox

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.13

Cubs position

Reds vs. Cubs

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.06

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.19

Brewers position

Pirates vs. Brewers

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.91

Rangers position

Yankees vs. Rangers

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.3

Padres position

Padres vs. Diamondbacks

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.7

Brewers position

Pirates vs. Brewers

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

Padres position

Red Sox vs. Padres

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.38

Nationals position

Nationals vs. Giants

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 67% 150 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 0.4% 526.95 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 4.6% 526.96 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 25% 1,039.99 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 19% 1,179.91 shares
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 17.3% 5.78 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.7% 1,367.06 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 1,500 shares
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 28.3% 106.77 shares
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 6.5% 1,540 shares
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 12.1% 500 shares
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 56% 550 shares