Polymarket Trader

slapbetcommissioner

0x6e6b13a7a67a048ef05248058bea216072559390

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $19.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.8K
Potential profit: $11.8K
User PnL: -$267.62

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$715.99

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.14K
Potential profit: $5.14K
User PnL: -$123.27

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.45K
User PnL: -$844.7

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$205.97

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$269.99

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$627.49

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$658.87

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$658.79

No position

S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$40

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$90

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$46.25

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $947.98
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $252
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $699.49

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$85.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.98
User PnL: -$177.49

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$55

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.95
Potential profit: $499.95
User PnL: -$59.99

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.02
Potential profit: $392.02
User PnL: -$18.68

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $61.32
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $238.68
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$43.68

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.33
Potential profit: $299.33
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Yes position

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.06

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $527.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down - October 15

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.9

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.81

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.73

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.74

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.66

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199

Yes position

Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.99

Yes position

Fed rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.86

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.38

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.39

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.99

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Up 17% 100 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Up 18% 200 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Up 20% 200 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?

Up 21% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

No 3.7% 25 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

No 73% 383.26 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 66.8% 299.33 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Up 73% 68.49 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Up 72% 69.44 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Down 0.1% 1,417.32 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Down 0.2% 2,185.46 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Down 0.2% 8,741.87 shares