Polymarket Trader

theGodFather101

0x6e7306de21f1484a8f2f26d76d295cbf70bfa236

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.29K
Realized PnL: $18.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $3.89K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $607.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $883.57

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $624.93
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $512.88

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $157.51
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $25.05

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$33

No position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$1.61K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $49
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $79.67
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $614.37

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $67.12
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $151.72

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $307.65
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $898.81
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$28.96

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900.07
Potential profit: $900.07
User PnL: -$497.26

Yes position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $767.44
Potential profit: $767.44
User PnL: -$46.05

Yes position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.82
Potential profit: $699.82
User PnL: -$513.76

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.81
Potential profit: $695.81
User PnL: -$347.81

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $669.88
Potential profit: $669.88
User PnL: -$244.47

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76.9%
Current value: $499.53
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $150.48
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $73.53

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.23
Potential profit: $548.23
User PnL: -$28.12

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $538
Potential profit: $538
User PnL: -$285.58

Yes position

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $534.7
Potential profit: $534.7
User PnL: -$62.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $533.33
Potential profit: $533.33
User PnL: -$213.33

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.91
Potential profit: $511.91
User PnL: -$63.48

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $491.75
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $439.93
Potential payout: $497.1
Potential profit: $57.17
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $67.11

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.99
Potential profit: $404.99
User PnL: -$44.55

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $208.47
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $91.53
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $55.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17K

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $907.95

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $868.89

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $779.49

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $755.07

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $748.52

No position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $552.52

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $536.4

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.3

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.84

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460.4

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.15

Yes position

Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.57

No position

Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.53

Yes position

50% India tariff in effect by August 27?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.53

Yes position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.23

Yes position

Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.88

No position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.31

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.08

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.12

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.67

No position

India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Yes 25.7% 232.33 shares
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Yes 30% 130.47 shares
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Yes 29% 27.6 shares
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Yes 29% 496.43 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 43% 110 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 44% 15 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 44% 46.27 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 53% 200 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 61% 200 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 84.9% 210.17 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 75% 77.1 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 75% 220 shares