No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $462.6
- Potential payout
- $564.15
- Potential profit
- $101.55
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $19.06
Polymarket Trader
SumDumFuk
0x6e7bcbbcc24296e5138d51cd570cf43a3b2fbcbc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $586.74
- Realized PnL
- $2.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $11.02
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $64.98
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$7.98
Yes position
New Half-Life game by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $72.03
- Potential profit
- $69.15
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.25
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $65.29
- Potential payout
- $69.24
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.29
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $34.02
- Potential payout
- $40.74
- Potential profit
- $6.72
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $10.93
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.54
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.27
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.82
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.25
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.27
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.45
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.14
No position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.72
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.33
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.75
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.1
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.34
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
Yes position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.71
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.59
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.48
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $48.41
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.45
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.21
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 56% 14.29 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 39.3 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 3.8% 45.45 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 76% 40.74 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No 75.1% 42.39 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 4.4% 45.45 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 15.4% 13.1 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No 77% 42.39 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?No 96% 19.51 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 14% 9 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 67.3% 26.38 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?No 82% 19.51 shares