Polymarket Trader

bilibobz

0x6e81749ae7578ac46b44817fe0c663c83709864b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $239.46
Realized PnL: $334.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 10, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.39
Potential profit: $94.39
User PnL: -$33.05

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.21
Potential profit: $87.21
User PnL: -$42.47

Yes position

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $45.76
Potential payout: $85.53
Potential profit: $39.77
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $2.54

No position

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $37.6
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $42.4
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$8.2

No position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.02
Potential profit: $62.02
User PnL: -$8.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 7, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 7, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$31

No position

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $32
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.75
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$8.25

Yes position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.5
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.06
Potential profit: $49.06
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $39.6
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 26?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.49
Potential profit: $40.49
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$16.8

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.6
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.78
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$10.38

No position

Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $30.36
Potential payout: $39.68
Potential profit: $9.32
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $22.93
Potential payout: $39.19
Potential profit: $16.26
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Tori launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $15.8
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $23.21
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$9.35

Yes position

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $36.52
Potential profit: $29.76
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.57
Potential profit: $35.57
User PnL: -$20.95

No position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $34.03
Potential profit: $27.74
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$9.36

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.7
Potential profit: $33.7
User PnL: -$2.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.35

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.38

No position

Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.87

Yes position

Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.06

No position

Will David Fennell advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be above 3%?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.16

Yes position

Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

No position

FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

No position

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Yes position

Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will Baltazar Fedalizo advance from the CA-37 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.56

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $8.45

Yes position

FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by July 1, 2026?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

No 55% 10 shares
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?

No 91% 20 shares
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?

Yes 60% 10.5 shares
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

No 49% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 14% 41.2 shares
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Yes 54% 20 shares
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 11.6% 20 shares
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?

No 66% 9.77 shares