Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $700
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $199.3K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$450
Polymarket Trader
shitok
0x6e85b0ce1cbc580806e09c4ef9756a66a8b61f81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.2K
- Realized PnL
- $20.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $360
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $79.64K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $213.89
- Potential payout
- $38.89K
- Potential profit
- $38.68K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$136.11
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $212.18
- Potential payout
- $38.58K
- Potential profit
- $38.37K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$57.87
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $796.08
- Potential payout
- $37.2K
- Potential profit
- $36.4K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $114.09
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $501.47
- Potential payout
- $32.35K
- Potential profit
- $31.85K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$48.53
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.69K
- Potential profit
- $19.69K
- User PnL
- -$137.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.14K
- Potential profit
- $9.14K
- User PnL
- -$45.7
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.18K
- Potential profit
- $8.18K
- User PnL
- -$212.65
No position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.34K
- Potential profit
- $6.34K
- User PnL
- -$620.9
No position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $5.41K
- User PnL
- -$252.86
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $692.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.31K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$139.98
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $317.48
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.68K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.17K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- User PnL
- -$112.2
Yes position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- User PnL
- -$2.25K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$840
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $405
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$525
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$414.99
Yes position
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$223.61
Yes position
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$81.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $972.88
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.76
No position
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $832.72
Yes position
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780
No position
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740.93
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.5
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $710.7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.13
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the America Business Forum on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.77
No position
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.91
Yes position
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
No position
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462
Yes position
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Score
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420
Yes position
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 49% 625 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 68% 800 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57% 625 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 800 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 5,000 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 30,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 22,800 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 31,250 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 50,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 10,000 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 15,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 13,454.68 shares