Polymarket Trader

Timbrah42

0x6e8daa1a1aab08904b7dc945d70bc427afcbb370

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.77
Realized PnL: $159.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bill Clinton's remarks not air?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $980.06
Potential profit: $980.06
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480.95
Potential profit: $480.95
User PnL: -$19.75

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.48
Potential profit: $375.48
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320.82
Potential profit: $320.82
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $235.6
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.76
Potential profit: $235.76
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.88
Potential profit: $200.88
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $103.79
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$16.1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.11
Potential profit: $98.11
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $21.79
Potential payout: $90.99
Potential profit: $69.2
Multiplier: 4.18x
User PnL: -$18.21

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$4.48

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $6.26
Potential payout: $73.69
Potential profit: $67.43
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$32.06

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.4
Potential profit: $64.4
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$2.8

Zheng position

Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutet

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.91
Potential profit: $31.91
User PnL: -$7.5

Shevchenko position

Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Alexander Shevchenko

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.95
Potential profit: $25.95
User PnL: -$7.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.63

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.56

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.89

Devils position

Devils vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Yes 44% 90.99 shares
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Nongshim Red Force 17% 16.77 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Up 13% 8.75 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.6% 80 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 21% 111 shares
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.1% 238.1 shares
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?

Yes 5% 200.88 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?

Yes 0.6% 777.78 shares
Will Bill Clinton's remarks not air?

No 1% 980.06 shares