Polymarket Trader

CalvinJudson

0x6e913f0e6cf4020cfd13311d2f7608fd41c26189

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $112.09
Realized PnL: $315.25
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $41.61
Potential payout: $42.01
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $37.89
Potential payout: $38.14
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.02

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $5.86
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.45
Potential profit: $5.45
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $5.19
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5
Potential profit: $3.5
User PnL: -$1

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.49
Potential profit: $3.49
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $3.19
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $2.72
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.92

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.36

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.19

No position

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.07

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the Raiders win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.12

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.07

No position

Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 5,460 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.6% 5,465.86 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 61% 8.2 shares
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.3% 5,360 shares
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.4% 5,365.19 shares
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.3% 5,450 shares
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.4% 5,452.72 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 97% 5,463.92 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?

No 99.8% 5,305.3 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?

No 99.9% 5,305.31 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.7% 5,305 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 5,310.62 shares