Polymarket Trader

fatalyty30

0x6e9ce1d0acd4881216d54a47d85422da74efbf99

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.55K
Realized PnL: $4.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $381.62
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $81.62

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $72.79
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$327.21

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $984.83
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $910.9
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $584.84

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $374.84
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $74.84

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $330.77
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$69.23

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $116.67
Potential payout: $952.38
Potential profit: $835.71
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$83.33

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $213.68
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $536.33
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $63.68

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $454.23
Potential payout: $704.23
Potential profit: $250
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$45.77

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $623.08
Potential payout: $659.34
Potential profit: $36.26
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $463.69
Potential profit: $463.69
User PnL: -$296.76

Yes position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.54
Potential profit: $422.54
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.85
Potential profit: $365.85
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.13
Potential profit: $309.13
User PnL: -$197.84

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.46
Potential profit: $304.46
User PnL: -$197.9

Yes position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.94
Potential profit: $299.94
User PnL: -$197.96

Yes position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.26
Potential profit: $261.26
User PnL: -$198.56

No position

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.57
Potential profit: $251.57
User PnL: -$198.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.74

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.48

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.66

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.39

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.56

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-05?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.07

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.27

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.33

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.57

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.72

Yes position

Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.16

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.69

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.41

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.58

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.98

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.51

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.74

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91% 659.34 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.6% 1,941.11 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.1% 1,895.73 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 26% 1,538.46 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 750 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 704.23 shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 60% 333.33 shares
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 68% 294.12 shares
Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-05-09?

Yes 86% 348.84 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?

Yes 69% 289.86 shares
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?

Yes 81% 370.37 shares
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?

Yes 82% 365.85 shares