No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.56
- Potential profit
- $97.56
- User PnL
- -$13.3
Polymarket Trader
alannolan
@2013_flaviano
0x6ea62d286c6a344524e78ad7d3089006b907555d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $99.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$19.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.38
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- User PnL
- -$9.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.68
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.26
No position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.57
No position
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Usyk position
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Trump post 140-159 times on Truth Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 10 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 10 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.8% 5.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?No 77.1% 36.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?No 79% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?No 79.8% 11.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?No 96.6% 19.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?No 96.5% 20.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?No 96% 4.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?No 95.9% 9.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 12?No 96% 7.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?No 4.5% 42.32 shares