Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $309.08
- Potential payout
- $951
- Potential profit
- $641.93
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$33.29
Polymarket Trader
1francisco
0x6eaca320d9d07c8c7e43926ee934624defe892ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.14K
- Realized PnL
- $4.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $509.36
- Potential payout
- $693
- Potential profit
- $183.64
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $51.97
No position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $323.99
- Potential payout
- $358
- Potential profit
- $34.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $26.85
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $736.2
Yes position
Will Trump post "Texas" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.32
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.32
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.86
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.2
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.51
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.05
Yes position
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.14x
- User PnL
- $126.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.5
Eureka Red Devils position
Eureka Red Devils vs. Indiana State Sycamores (W)
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $120.84
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.55
Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $109.05
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club position
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.36
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.42
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $87.72
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.8
Yes position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.2
Yes position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.89
Yes position
Will Trump say "Europe" or "European" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.48
Yes position
Will Trump say "Schumer" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.4
No position
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.61
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $53.52
No position
Will there be at least 700 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.85
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?No 33% 1,343 shares
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?No 83% 545 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 68% 50 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 51% 163 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 51% 708 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 51% 775 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 51% 377 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 50% 2,023 shares
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?No 66% 1,343 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 63% 69 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 63% 429 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 63% 144 shares