No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $733.83
- Potential payout
- $959.26
- Potential profit
- $225.43
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $110.83
Polymarket Trader
0x6EAD18ED0A6dd44425E26Db30dB9eb5a28A914F8-1772823852768
0x6ead18ed0a6dd44425e26db30db9eb5a28a914f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.94K
- Realized PnL
- $1.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $910.59
- Potential payout
- $949.52
- Potential profit
- $38.93
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $107.3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $97.43
- Potential payout
- $205.12
- Potential profit
- $107.69
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$32.46
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $137.72
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $37.72
Yes position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $61.06
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $35.1
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $11.06
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.84
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $182.54
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.95
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.8
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.1
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.62
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $78.74
No position
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.89
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.64
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $66.78
No position
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.29
No position
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.66
No position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $47.74
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.58
Raptors position
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.86
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.98
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.9
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.36
No position
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.8
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.57
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 72.5% 20.83 shares
- Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 52% 96.15 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 97.2% 173.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 57.6% 173.5 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 60.6% 200 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 78% 92.73 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 71% 352.11 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 77.8% 5 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 34% 29.41 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 64.7% 92.73 shares