Polymarket Trader

ancosero

0x6eb03e9d2ed41e3f98255b35a44c68c30845766a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $119.52
Realized PnL: $383
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413.3
Potential profit: $413.3
User PnL: -$35.96

Yes position

Will South Africa be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $219.99
Potential profit: $218.34
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.04
Potential profit: $219.04
User PnL: -$54.76

Yes position

Will Haiti be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $174.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will Ecuador be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $156.75
Potential profit: $156.59
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$5.43

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $147.9
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$3.63

No position

Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $128.7
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will Jordan be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $129.79
Potential profit: $129.14
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $18.63
Potential payout: $128.5
Potential profit: $109.87
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Qatar be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $127.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will Algeria be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $8.9
Potential payout: $125.5
Potential profit: $116.6
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Scotland be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $125.14
Potential profit: $123.83
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$12.43

No position

Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $112.85
Potential profit: $111.33
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.77

Yes position

Will Haiti be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $106.43
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$20.03

Yes position

Will Senegal be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $107.19
Potential profit: $102.31
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $100.5
Potential profit: $97.89
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$12.84

Yes position

Will Paraguay be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $96.78
Potential profit: $96.44
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.95

No position

Will Andorra win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.45
Potential profit: $94.45
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Will Cape Verde be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $7.19
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $86.81
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.99
Potential profit: $91.99
User PnL: -$6.44

Yes position

Will Iraq be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $91.14
Potential profit: $90.68
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.84

No position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.79
Potential profit: $89.79
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $33.78
Potential payout: $75.9
Potential profit: $42.12
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $5.22

Yes position

Will Curaçao be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $32.2
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $37.8
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $16.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.9

Yes position

Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $18.62

No position

United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.18

No position

Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $13.18

No position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.62

Yes position

Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $0.08

Under position

Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Tunisia be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uzbekistan be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 35 shares
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score

No 99.9% 39.38 shares
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score

Yes 6.5% 20 shares
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score

No 53.7% 39.39 shares
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

No 38% 16.4 shares
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

No 38% 18.5 shares
Will Algeria be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 54 shares
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

No 37.3% 41 shares
Will Algeria be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 71.5 shares
Will Curaçao be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

Yes 22% 70 shares
Will Haiti be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

Yes 20% 108 shares
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 3.3% 46 shares