Polymarket Trader

7784

0x6ebf0966e4228ac67524cca4783c730d30845f2d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $128.61
Realized PnL: $5.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40.12
Potential payout: $40.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.18
Potential payout: $25.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $20.11
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $20.13
Potential payout: $20.16
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $9.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.01
Potential payout: $9.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Base airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

2024 December hottest on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?

No 99.8% 5.01 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?

No 99.7% 40.12 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

No 99.7% 24.8 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 98% 20.41 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 25.18 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.2% 20.16 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99% 20.2 shares
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

No 99.9% 6.04 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

No 97.9% 9.19 shares
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 99.4% 9.05 shares
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 99.8% 9.02 shares
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.2% 9.07 shares