Polymarket Trader

Wtr

0x6ed63550d61e043191cbbc713d8a4777450a6a8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.21
Realized PnL: $27.46K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.17K
Potential profit: $8.17K
User PnL: -$112.82

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his announcement on September 2?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.93K
Potential profit: $6.93K
User PnL: -$292.58

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.62K
Potential profit: $5.62K
User PnL: -$1.06K

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$1.03K

No position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.27K
User PnL: -$78.53

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
User PnL: -$287.36

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$202.43

Yes position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$280

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$1.07K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Golf" during his announcement on September 2?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$249.7

No position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $39.21
Potential payout: $825.38
Potential profit: $786.17
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $3.21

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $665
Potential profit: $665
User PnL: -$73.15

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.29
Potential profit: $601.29
User PnL: -$432.93

Yes position

Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524.81
Potential profit: $524.81
User PnL: -$126.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $507.12
Potential profit: $507.12
User PnL: -$114.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.59
Potential profit: $295.59
User PnL: -$123.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25K

Yes position

Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $842.94

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $725.4

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $649.31

Yes position

U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.5

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.27

Yes position

Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.96

Yes position

Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.77

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.9

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

Will Trump appoint Karoline Leavitt for White House Press Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.51

Duarte position

CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.16

Yes position

Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will a Republican win Washington Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?

No 4.4% 825.38 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Yes 11% 665 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.1% 77.91 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 87% 77.92 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Yes 3.7% 1,863.86 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Yes 9.7% 1,863.86 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Yes 2.1% 9,068.41 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Yes 36% 1,110.43 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Yes 40.3% 4,957.98 shares
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?

Yes 90.7% 2,521.93 shares
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Yes 24.1% 1,024.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?

Yes 13.4% 86.33 shares