Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $45.42
- Potential payout
- $18.17K
- Potential profit
- $18.12K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.39K
Polymarket Trader
Roger1410
0x6ed913ba70f0f5dbcbd6648f2044718bb96bfebf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $463.47
- Realized PnL
- $8.48K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $396.96
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.78K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $21.09
- Potential payout
- $554.92
- Potential profit
- $533.83
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$128.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Trudeau resigns before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.85
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.77
Yes position
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $193.33
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.64
Yes position
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 21 and 25 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.77
No position
Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.17
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.19
Bangalore position
Chennai Super Kings vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.49
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Trump publicly oppose funding bill today?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.86
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.28
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.15
No position
Will Elon be worth $500b by Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.36
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Heat position
Heat vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Clippers position
Hornets vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Lakers position
Spurs vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the Conservatives win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.31
Yes position
Will the PPC win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.75
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 72.5% 4,992.32 shares
- Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 32.7% 873.39 shares
- Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 24.3% 4,118.93 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 27% 554.92 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.5% 4,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 13% 3,846.15 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 28% 178.57 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 3.5% 2,857.14 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 14% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 16% 625 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 3.9% 17,969.43 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?Yes 2.3% 436.62 shares