Polymarket Trader

0x6EDe3D5Fa80c7035e151229d3CE8f303950f97a2-1777795772014

0x6ede3d5fa80c7035e151229d3ce8f303950f97a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11M
Realized PnL: $10.34K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $511.44K
Potential payout: $511.69K
Potential profit: $255.85
User PnL: $880.11

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $348.69K
Potential payout: $349.21K
Potential profit: $523.82
User PnL: $4.27K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $119.57K
Potential payout: $119.63K
Potential profit: $59.81
User PnL: $583.89

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $47.51K
Potential payout: $47.53K
Potential profit: $23.76
User PnL: $356.05

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $45.89K
Potential payout: $45.91K
Potential profit: $22.96
User PnL: $124.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.82K
Potential payout: $27.84K
Potential profit: $13.92
User PnL: $674.98

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $795.69

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794.81

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.3

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.65

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.14

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.28

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.83

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.9%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.1%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.2%
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.9%
Multiplier: 6.29x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 7,049.13 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 31,768.74 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 27,460.62 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.6% 15,991.95 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.5% 12,557.56 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 4,143.38 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.5% 13,352.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 99.1% 22,603.17 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.2% 8,744 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 95.9% 51,390.35 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.3% 9,662.28 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 99.2% 8,945.42 shares