0x6EE265CC6B229566621080FA467241713EAFe69B-1778407839291

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$13.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.98
Potential profit: $59.98
User PnL: -$12.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.3
Potential profit: $15.3
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$7.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.92
Potential profit: $7.92
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $5.99
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 58.6%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $8.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?