Polymarket Trader

m240p

0x6ee8c91b5d6f7f368d9283cbc9f528a08cda1a70

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $139.81
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $474.04
Potential profit: $474.04
User PnL: -$102.67

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $212.64
Potential profit: $209.56
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $186.29
Potential profit: $184.89
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $105.7
Potential payout: $143.81
Potential profit: $38.11
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$5.03

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $51.84
Potential profit: $46.73
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $41.45
Multiplier: 11.36x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $13.48
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $9.78
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $4.47
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 34% 14.71 shares
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 1.1% 186.29 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 30% 16.67 shares
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,500 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 9.6% 51.84 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 2.4% 212.64 shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 77% 143.81 shares