Polymarket Trader

Waagh

0x6ef421328cd1833608c8b476315dd06dad94557b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $952.88
Realized PnL: $1.45K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $239.58
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $3.93K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $39.59

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $83.59
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$16.41

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $116.95
Potential payout: $531.58
Potential profit: $414.63
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $16.95

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.87
Potential profit: $483.87
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.98
Potential profit: $338.98
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.74
Potential profit: $259.74
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $101.19
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $136.9
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $121.43
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $82.65
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.08
Potential profit: $200.08
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Igor Thiago score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $56.7
Potential payout: $157.5
Potential profit: $100.8
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$43.3

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $131.54
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $22.31
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $31.54

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $101.9
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $24.68
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Biden drops out in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.13

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.17

No position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.44

Yes position

USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.38

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.68

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.58

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.48

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.42

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.95

No position

Another Iran strike on Israel in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "unity" during RNC speech?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

No position

Iran military response by Sunday?

Ends Aug 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 2,083.33 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.4% 1,562.5 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 2,083.33 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 97% 103.09 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 112.36 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 49% 204.08 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 97.3% 205.5 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 65% 153.85 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 83% 120.48 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 45% 222.22 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 1.3% 1,375.62 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 8% 1,375.63 shares