No position
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $51.19
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Polymarket Trader
lunalan303
0x6f014ffd8070cd5ed76b8547d89a64556ac26f56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $156.75
- Realized PnL
- $1.91K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $51.54
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $50.05
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $4.16
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455
Braves position
White Sox vs. Braves
Ends Aug 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.96
Tigers position
Tigers vs. Astros
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.37
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Warriors
Ends May 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$141
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$183
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- White Sox vs. BravesBraves 60% 1,130 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on May 28?Down 50% 840 shares
- Cardinals vs. OriolesCardinals 51% 937 shares
- Oilers vs. StarsStars 52% 977 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?Down 74% 1,254 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?Up 65% 983 shares
- Tigers vs. AstrosTigers 49% 518.37 shares
- Rockets vs. WarriorsRockets 39% 361.54 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on April 25?Down 51% 358.82 shares