Polymarket Trader

Hopethebest

0x6f05ad4850e892af6cfdc338a38ddd845633d691

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.05

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.96

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.93

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.48

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.18

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.05

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.96

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.93

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.48

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.18

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.31

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.67

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.98

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.34

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.98

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.33

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.69

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $29.08

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.85

No position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.15

No position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.48

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

No position

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

No position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Yes position

Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.6% 2,580.62 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.7% 128.1 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.7% 420.43 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.7% 250.16 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.7% 24.04 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.7% 252 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.7% 975.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 3.8% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 94.3% 50 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 94.2% 260 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 99.5% 1,010.05 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

No 99.9% 1,000 shares