Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$225
Polymarket Trader
warptrading
@warptrading
0x6f084a641012bb925f2f3c7f44a6fec5025e54d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.8K
- Realized PnL
- $19.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SZA release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.98K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- User PnL
- -$49.8
Yes position
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$150
Makhmudov position
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- User PnL
- -$414.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Chud the Builder charged by May 20?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$32.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$79.92
No position
Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $368.18
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $995.45
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $218.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$161.54
No position
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$176.78
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.4%
- Current value
- $488.65
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $665.19
- Multiplier
- 2.36x
- User PnL
- $338.65
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$83.33
No position
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $260
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $740
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995.7
- Potential profit
- $995.7
- User PnL
- -$39.83
No position
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $959.46
- Potential profit
- $959.46
- User PnL
- -$67.16
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $559.61
- Potential payout
- $956.59
- Potential profit
- $396.98
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $104.14
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $882.35
- Potential profit
- $882.35
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $873.05
- Potential profit
- $873.05
- User PnL
- -$52.38
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $856.54
- Potential profit
- $856.54
- User PnL
- -$34.26
No position
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $165.18
- Potential payout
- $734.12
- Potential profit
- $568.94
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.67
No position
Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $718.09
- Potential profit
- $718.09
- User PnL
- -$56.31
Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $13.57
- Potential payout
- $714.28
- Potential profit
- $700.71
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$36.43
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.6
- Potential profit
- $705.6
- User PnL
- -$87.33
No position
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $681.81
- Potential profit
- $681.81
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $681.81
- Potential profit
- $681.81
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Juliano Floss be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677.01
- Potential profit
- $677.01
- User PnL
- -$20.31
No position
Will less than 5000 US flights be delayed on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.64
- Potential profit
- $666.64
- User PnL
- -$65
No position
Will MrBeast hit 124.5 billion views by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $638
- Potential profit
- $638
- User PnL
- -$122.84
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $500
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $258.65
- Potential payout
- $623.26
- Potential profit
- $364.61
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$140.23
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $530.76
- Potential payout
- $603.14
- Potential profit
- $72.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $102.53
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $144
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $456
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $587.3
- Potential profit
- $587.3
- User PnL
- -$101.1
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $564.93
- Potential profit
- $564.93
- User PnL
- -$56.49
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $13.06
- Potential payout
- $555.55
- Potential profit
- $542.49
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$36.94
No position
Will Trump say "Death Tax" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.55
- Potential profit
- $555.55
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $535.71
- Potential profit
- $535.71
- User PnL
- -$176.47
No position
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $535.71
- Potential profit
- $535.71
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $106.03
- Potential payout
- $517.24
- Potential profit
- $411.21
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$70.93
No position
Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $304.99
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $157.48
No position
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $186.29
- Potential payout
- $483.87
- Potential profit
- $297.58
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $36.29
No position
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $482.56
- Potential profit
- $482.56
- User PnL
- -$53.08
No position
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $272.27
- Potential payout
- $473.51
- Potential profit
- $201.24
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $144.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $962.02
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.71
No position
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $676.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.72
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.68
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.72
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.13
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.61
No position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.7
Yes position
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.41
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.96
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $408.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.97
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.41
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.42
No position
Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.61
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.76
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.19
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.89
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.67
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.96
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.85
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.14
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.18
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.02
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.68
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.49
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.14
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.18
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.59
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.55
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.12
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.48
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.59
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes 97% 1,000 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 28.4% 982.12 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 32% 982.12 shares
- Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes 11.7% 420.04 shares
- Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovMakhmudov 17% 195.02 shares
- Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovMakhmudov 17% 292.53 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports 46% 999.99 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 29% 68.97 shares
- Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovMakhmudov 17% 1,950.2 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 68% 2,000 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETDown 99.9% 73.44 shares
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?No 1.9% 490.26 shares