arbl

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.74
Potential profit: $75.74
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.85
Potential profit: $42.85
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $37.84
Potential payout: $37.85
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.19
Potential profit: $21.19
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.7
Potential profit: $10.7
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.38
Potential profit: $10.38
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.71
Potential profit: $6.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $2.9
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8
Potential profit: $2.8
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51
Potential profit: $2.51
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 11?