Polymarket Trader

Ricardoreidelas

0x6f2a5ea36bd4e364c22577ea26bb44632f0afa7b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $149.18
Realized PnL: $174.29
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $149.18
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 8.47x
User PnL: -$100.51

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $633.2
Potential profit: $633.2
User PnL: -$81.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.86
Potential profit: $409.86
User PnL: -$400

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.61
Potential profit: $300.61
User PnL: -$9.02

Yes position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.14
Potential profit: $294.14
User PnL: -$43.9

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.63
Potential profit: $82.63
User PnL: -$8.66

Yes position

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.95
Potential profit: $51.95
User PnL: -$9.87

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.6
Potential profit: $14.6
User PnL: -$2.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.49

No position

Will Artemis II launch by February 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.27

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.32

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $9.9

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Satya Nadella in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 19.8% 1,264.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 99.9% 202.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 99% 101.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 97.3% 102.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 98% 102.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 96.1% 104.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 99% 101.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 98.8% 101.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 96.1% 104.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Up 99% 101.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Down 98.8% 101.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Up 96% 104.17 shares