Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $18.33
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $8.33
Polymarket Trader
outfielddue
0x6f463f55dda8f4ea0a5a8574db8e74d120be640b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.62
- Realized PnL
- $429.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $13.76
- Potential payout
- $474.46
- Potential profit
- $460.7
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $378.59
- Potential profit
- $376.51
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $8.12
- Potential payout
- $270.7
- Potential profit
- $262.58
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $28.18
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $171.82
- Multiplier
- 7.10x
- User PnL
- $19.78
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $137.35
- Potential profit
- $132.41
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$4.1
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $21.92
- Potential payout
- $57.09
- Potential profit
- $35.17
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $10.83
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $52.5
- Potential profit
- $48.72
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10.35
No position
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $16.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.78
- Potential profit
- $8.78
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.95
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.67
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.32
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.08
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 50% 8.78 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 61% 16.39 shares
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.4% 299.86 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 2.3% 351.73 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 45% 213 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 45% 102 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes 51% 145 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 22.5% 12.36 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 4% 26.35 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?No 56% 7.31 shares
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?No 57% 5 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.1% 5 shares