No position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$114.7
Polymarket Trader
marketmover-344
0x6f6465996df846d5a8954df1159a72f5e78732b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.07K
- Realized PnL
- $4.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $605.03
- Potential payout
- $615.81
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $68.22
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $512.68
- Potential payout
- $513.45
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- User PnL
- $18.55
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $404.23
- Potential payout
- $407.08
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- User PnL
- $10.21
Yes position
Will Braxton Dunaway win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303
- Potential profit
- $303
- User PnL
- -$12.84
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $297.6
- Potential payout
- $299.7
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- User PnL
- $12.89
Yes position
Will John Wasnock win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $213
- Potential profit
- $213
- User PnL
- -$20.93
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $13.9
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $192.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $157.36
- Potential payout
- $184.05
- Potential profit
- $26.69
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $11.96
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $174.49
- Potential payout
- $179.79
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $29.16
No position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $155
- User PnL
- -$149.3
Yes position
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.99
- Potential profit
- $139.99
- User PnL
- -$7.96
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.2
- Potential profit
- $136.2
- User PnL
- -$79
No position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $98.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the Fox News interview on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the Fox News interview on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.08
- Potential payout
- $99.23
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $96.21
- Potential payout
- $96.26
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $89.28
- Potential payout
- $90.68
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.38
N
No position
Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $77.29
- Potential payout
- $86.36
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $20.29
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $62.33
- Potential payout
- $62.42
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.63
- Potential profit
- $54.63
- User PnL
- -$27.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $260.31
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $257.4
No position
Will United States win the 2025 International Math Olympiad?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.2
Trzaskowski position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Mazowieckie?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.79
No position
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.74
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.06
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.16
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.15
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Friday June 27?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.12
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.27
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.36
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.3
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.71
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79
Yes position
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.89
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.19
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.41
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
No position
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.6
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.46
No position
Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 67% 23 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No 66% 5.8 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 94.9% 42 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 32% 630.18 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?No 95% 159.7 shares
- Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?No 89% 40 shares
- Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?No 58% 136.2 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?No 90% 50 shares
- Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by June 30?No 75% 45 shares
- Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?No 66% 70.06 shares
- Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?No 64% 6.39 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 84% 50 shares