No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $63.79
- Potential payout
- $283.51
- Potential profit
- $219.72
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$146.21
Polymarket Trader
datadawn
0x6f70e85bcd3b6c90a58ce79a25d5e21ecf4fad31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $232.59
- Realized PnL
- $194.55
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $281.82
- Potential profit
- $273.22
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$17.4
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $108.93
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $10.12
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.93
Yes position
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.06
- Potential profit
- $101.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $75.76
- Potential profit
- $68.67
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31.75
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $30.8
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$19.55
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump name "Elon" or "Musk" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9.8
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $11.99
- Potential payout
- $16.1
- Potential profit
- $4.1
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.16
No position
Remote IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $47.73
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $11.95
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
Yes position
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Epic Games IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Felix Auger-Aliassime position
BNP Paribas Open: Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 6% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 72% 100 shares
- Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Yes 26.4% 98.16 shares
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 2.6% 100 shares
- Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?No 99.8% 27.39 shares
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 94% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 62% 100 shares
- Will Trump name "Elon" or "Musk" in April?Yes 49% 20 shares
- Epic Games IPO before 2027?No 78% 16.66 shares
- Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 1.3% 74.64 shares
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Remote IPO before 2027?No 74.1% 181.73 shares