No position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $414.03
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $111.06
Polymarket Trader
0x6F744ffd7AE68Ad2A53Ca4283414C4a19345A597-1766405827425
0x6f744ffd7ae68ad2a53ca4283414c4a19345a597
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.97K
- Realized PnL
- $367.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $111.73
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $11.73
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $88.72
- Potential payout
- $94.04
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $78.28
- Potential payout
- $81.08
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.28
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $69.85
- Potential payout
- $78.92
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $8.85
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $19.05
- Potential payout
- $73.69
- Potential profit
- $54.64
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$45.58
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $69.37
- Potential payout
- $73.17
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.37
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $64.6
- Potential profit
- $54.59
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$32.99
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $46.33
- Potential payout
- $50.63
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $40.68
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $14.22
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $11.98
- Potential payout
- $12.58
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $5.47
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.34
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.43
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.27
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $20.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.64
No position
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Natural Disaster in 2026?No 71% 71.49 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?No 71% 1,710.72 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 28.6% 182.71 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 70% 137.29 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 38% 50 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 40% 25 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 40% 25 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 99.9% 33.41 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.9% 21.9 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?No 99.9% 180.33 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No 95.9% 167.45 shares
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 99.7% 161.06 shares