Polymarket Trader

altsu

0x6f90c26b56635937b651eca737411a7145603f1e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.77K
Realized PnL: $62.95
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $180.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $87.02

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $44.25

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $14.73
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.92

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $650.16
Potential payout: $688
Potential profit: $37.84
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $23.2

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $575.87
Potential payout: $611
Potential profit: $35.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $561
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $457.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.25
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $14.13
Potential payout: $366.93
Potential profit: $352.8
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$44.13

No position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $182.5
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$65

No position

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $245.89
Potential payout: $248
Potential profit: $2.11
User PnL: $50.72

Yes position

Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $233.64
Potential payout: $243
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $12.51

Yes position

Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?

Ends Nov 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $107.21
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$69.36

No position

Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$79.5

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $99.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.6
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $65.45
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $64
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $51.43
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $53.32
Potential payout: $53.35
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $42.22
Potential profit: $37.96
Multiplier: 9.90x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $32.3
Potential payout: $32.54
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $5.59

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $14.94
Potential payout: $20.33
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $456.58

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.9

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

Will John Goodman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will Fernando Mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

No position

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Michael Porter Jr. lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.6%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$2.32

No position

Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$12.1

Yes position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.2

No position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$436

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?

Yes 76% 50 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?

No 18% 24.98 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 1,000 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 80.77 shares
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.6% 200 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 200 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 500 shares
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

No 98.7% 16 shares
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.2% 21 shares
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Yes 90% 59 shares
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Yes 91% 151 shares
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Yes 91% 151 shares