Y
Yes position
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 83%-84%?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $160.96
- Potential profit
- $151.22
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$33.72
Polymarket Trader
nidenmeng
0x6f95f87ba22c10a59d4f8068904e755bc3006ebe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.74
- Realized PnL
- $3.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Michigan Wolverines position
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10AM ETDown 98.5% 7.44 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 91% 8.79 shares
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.2% 5.04 shares
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.3% 5.04 shares
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.2% 5.04 shares
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 5.04 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 77% 9.09 shares
- Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.3% 10.06 shares
- Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.4% 10.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 10.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57% 10.53 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86.1% 5.78 shares