Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.7%
- Current value
- $365.93
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $827.96
- Multiplier
- 3.26x
- User PnL
- $110.6
Polymarket Trader
Vaugirard
0x6fa106b966b3e348f032a4cbecb51dbf8d1cc963
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $581.46
- Realized PnL
- $71.18
- Win rate
- 52.2%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $52.02
- Potential payout
- $268.85
- Potential profit
- $216.83
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $93.94
- Potential payout
- $139.17
- Potential profit
- $45.23
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $8.94
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $104.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $34.61
- Potential payout
- $86.52
- Potential profit
- $51.91
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $20.22
- Potential payout
- $86.05
- Potential profit
- $65.83
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $14.74
- Potential payout
- $51.72
- Potential profit
- $36.99
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.02
- Potential profit
- $51.02
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.02
- Potential profit
- $49.02
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.06
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.61
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.11
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.69
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.54
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Y
Yes position
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.31
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$20.98
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$33.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 41% 17.07 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 30.7% 65.15 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 97.9% 74.91 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 71% 14.08 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?No 28% 35.71 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?No 28% 35.71 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 72% 16.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 67% 14.93 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?No 24% 20.83 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 77% 19.48 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 95% 31.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 62% 56.45 shares