Polymarket Trader

Michael-Slayer

0x6fa1383aa839e0d87d2a43814f089749b6831f74

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.88K
Realized PnL: $26.08K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 16?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.92K
Potential profit: $26.92K
User PnL: -$58.36

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 18?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $10.1K
User PnL: -$10.1

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 20?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$1.24K

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $327.45
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $234.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $838.64
Potential profit: $838.64
User PnL: -$23.15

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $111.17
Potential payout: $116.1
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $27.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.12K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38K

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.26

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $797.59

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760.14

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $586.47

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $539.89

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.57

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 16-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.7

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.41

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.33

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.56

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.96

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 84% 50 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 86% 22.5 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 81% 70.39 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 80% 359.94 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 80% 5 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 84.7% 300 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 56.1% 64.98 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?

No 74% 100 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?

No 49% 6.1 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 24% 4.48 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 16-22?

No 99.9% 300 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?

Yes 69% 100 shares