Polymarket Trader

notalkletsplay

0x6fb868e4bc34c8be25d8b6dad58f395bdb0d48f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $340.64
Realized PnL: $125.31
Win rate: 41.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $528.62
Potential profit: $524.92
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$16.3

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $12.11
Potential payout: $526.67
Potential profit: $514.55
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$52.19

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.54
Potential profit: $434.54
User PnL: -$49.61

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $52.08
Potential payout: $385.78
Potential profit: $333.7
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $17.36

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.94
Potential profit: $304.94
User PnL: -$44.81

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $245.25
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$32.75

Yes position

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.53
Potential payout: $247.25
Potential profit: $238.72
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $72.43
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $137.57
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $14.03

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $13.82
Potential payout: $184.23
Potential profit: $170.41
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $30.4
Potential payout: $159.99
Potential profit: $129.59
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $35.1
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $94.89
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $24.2
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $85.8
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $14.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.81
Potential profit: $66.81
User PnL: -$10

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $58.26
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.78
Potential profit: $47.78
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.32
Potential profit: $46.32
User PnL: -$13.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.83
Potential profit: $44.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.22
Potential profit: $36.22
User PnL: -$1.69

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $6.27
Potential payout: $35.81
Potential profit: $29.55
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $1.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.41
Potential profit: $30.41
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will one person dissent the June Fed decision?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.77

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 21% 100 shares
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 6% 6.71 shares
Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 4.7% 21.22 shares
Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 4.6% 15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Down 33% 15.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Down 69% 6.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 95% 21.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 49% 10.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 46.1% 10.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 78% 24.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Down 37.6% 13.3 shares