Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $388.77
- Potential payout
- $17.28K
- Potential profit
- $16.89K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $51.99
Polymarket Trader
0x6Fc41178F2fEf13C8E2C74112023F7aFAF3008Cc-1767308921976
0x6fc41178f2fef13c8e2c74112023f7afaf3008cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.55K
- Realized PnL
- $2.46K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $641.24
- Potential payout
- $6.75K
- Potential profit
- $6.11K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.58K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $396
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $404
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $699.38
- Potential payout
- $799.29
- Potential profit
- $99.91
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $19.48
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $257.44
- Potential payout
- $270.42
- Potential profit
- $12.98
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $17.66
No position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $79.02
- Potential payout
- $173.67
- Potential profit
- $94.65
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$34.17
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $61.56
- Potential payout
- $61.96
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $25.53
- Potential payout
- $59.37
- Potential profit
- $33.84
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $158.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $157.98
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.16
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Les Wexner charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $41.43
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $29.63
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?No 94.7% 270.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 17% 499.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 85% 24.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 84.3% 474.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 467.73 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 49% 600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48% 103.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 36% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 43% 67.55 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 604.22 shares