Polymarket Trader

Gremblin

0x6fc5246f2f538535374fa712e4e5a1a13df183a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $95.07
Realized PnL: $288.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $95.07
Potential payout: $196.02
Potential profit: $100.95
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$12.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.06

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.92

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.42

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.06

Yes position

Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during Hungary PM events on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.82

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $12.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.06

Yes position

Will Trump say "Affordability" or "Affordable" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.49

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.42

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Jazz position

Lakers vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 55% 196.02 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 77% 140 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 89% 49.2 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 58.1% 76.57 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 22.3% 21.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 90% 5.49 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 84% 1.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Up 12% 8.33 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 46.5% 4.46 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 46.6% 22.87 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 64.6% 36.59 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 63% 2.68 shares