Polymarket Trader

Cornishon

@cornishon3

0x6fc6559e2983ac627bd03410875eebb323644690

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.1K
Realized PnL: $2.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.5K
Potential profit: $29.5K
User PnL: -$195.97

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $211.72
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $324.28
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $334
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $66
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$2

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $176.27
Potential payout: $206.16
Potential profit: $29.89
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $26.78

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $131.72
Potential payout: $190.93
Potential profit: $59.21
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $63.71

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$29.2

No position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $81.3
Potential payout: $88.85
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $28.53

No position

Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $53.75
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $32.25
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$12.37

Yes position

Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $81.16
Potential profit: $81.04
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.84
Potential profit: $69.84
User PnL: -$21.24

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.7%
Current value: $41.58
Potential payout: $67.44
Potential profit: $25.86
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: -$8.81

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.25
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$31.2

No position

Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

Ends Oct 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $40.92
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $6.89

Yes position

Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $32.21
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$5.37

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $20.02
Potential profit: $19.58
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.3
Potential profit: $11.3
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $10.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $1.8

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.78
Potential profit: $9.78
User PnL: -$2.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.1

No position

Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.26

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.33

Yes position

Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.42

No position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.8

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.83

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.35

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.83

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.51

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.98

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $94.98

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.39

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.9

No position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.22

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.08

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.76

No position

Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.9

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.1

No position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $48.29

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.36

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.35

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 30% 33 shares
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 32% 15.6 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Rico 7% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 82% 12 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 72% 40.81 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 77% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 77% 194.33 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 77% 96 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 80% 24.61 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Natus Vincere 27% 9.78 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 69% 100 shares
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Yes 56% 33 shares