0x6FD08AE07f10A9DB42c0C7f778d2F9478Dfb4338-1781287000205

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $389.13
Potential profit: $388.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $332.99
Potential profit: $332.16
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $332.99
Potential profit: $332.15
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $320.04
Potential profit: $318.44
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $287.25
Potential profit: $286.1
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $247.63
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $245
Potential profit: $242.43
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.8
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $196.89
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $199.92
Potential profit: $199.62
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $163.84
Potential profit: $161.95
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.18
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.63
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.54
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $122.07
Potential profit: $122.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100.95
Potential profit: $100.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.6
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $8.81
Potential payout: $95.77
Potential profit: $86.96
Multiplier: 10.87x
User PnL: $8.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $63.96
Potential profit: $63.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.04
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.95
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?