Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $6.76
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $103.13
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Polymarket Trader
stkthree3881
0x6fd4d64e53f8b9cb65e7cb9a1c0f70208f025cfc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $352.71
- Realized PnL
- $934.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $6.45
- Potential payout
- $78.68
- Potential profit
- $72.23
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $76.35
- Potential payout
- $76.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $22.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $64.41
- Potential payout
- $64.41
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $20.27
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $8.57
- Potential payout
- $55.26
- Potential profit
- $46.7
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $52.5
- Potential profit
- $42.26
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $51.22
- Potential profit
- $44.87
- Multiplier
- 8.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $22.07
- Potential payout
- $45.04
- Potential profit
- $22.97
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.61
- Potential profit
- $44.61
- User PnL
- -$27.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.36
- Potential profit
- $40.36
- User PnL
- -$27.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $37.69
- Potential profit
- $37.61
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.67
- Potential profit
- $34.67
- User PnL
- -$24.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $34.02
- Potential payout
- $34.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $16.33
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.32
- Potential profit
- $33.32
- User PnL
- -$18.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.53
- Potential profit
- $32.53
- User PnL
- -$22.83
Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $32.43
- Potential profit
- $30.42
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $32.22
- Potential payout
- $32.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30.77
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $27.4
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $14.45
- Potential payout
- $26.03
- Potential profit
- $11.58
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $23.91
- Potential profit
- $23.89
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $13.72
- Potential payout
- $23.86
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $22.83
- Potential profit
- $13.01
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $14.43
- Potential payout
- $22.54
- Potential profit
- $8.12
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.48
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.18
Over position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.85
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.72
No position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?No 65.4% 17.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?No 63% 15.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 21?No 73% 15.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?No 73% 15.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?No 65% 20.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 21?No 70% 20.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 21?No 72% 13.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?No 65% 13.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 20?No 70% 14.19 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 20?No 59.1% 17.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?No 72.7% 17.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 20?No 73% 16.18 shares