Polymarket Trader

tiagos30

0x6fe1e6c061134689502f9f85638b276bfbe08634

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.87K
Realized PnL: $7.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $7.87K
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $731
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$889.19

No position

Maduro out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$730

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $886
Potential profit: $886
User PnL: -$558.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18K

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.84

No position

María Corina Machado arrested before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.06

No position

Maduro out in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.91

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.13

Yes position

Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $241.04

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.8

No position

Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.55

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

No position

Edmundo González arrested before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.99

No position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.71

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

No position

Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.33

No position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

No position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Venezuela intervention by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

No position

Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

No position

Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 78.8% 5,600 shares
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?

No 99.5% 99.67 shares
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?

No 99.5% 900 shares
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?

No 99.1% 50.5 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

No 88% 2,403.79 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

No 90% 23 shares
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?

No 84% 130 shares
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?

No 83% 320.76 shares
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

No 63% 886 shares
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

No 46.2% 34.6 shares
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

No 43.3% 2,034.1 shares
Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?

No 94.8% 161.33 shares