Polymarket Trader

biatchnikka

0x6fe615c4480eb9f27a0bacf116620183b0d969b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.18K
Realized PnL: $1.27K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.71K
Potential profit: $15.71K
User PnL: -$999.99

No position

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
User PnL: -$1.46K

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $69.67

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.72K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$116

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $125.67
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$12.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.14

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.62

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $14.04

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

70k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.89

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ass" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.63

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.67

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$19.39

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.99

No position

Will Trump say "American Dream" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Up 9% 55.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 41% 12.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 66% 7.58 shares
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

No 0.3% 5,887.22 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 0.2% 303.03 shares
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

No 6.1% 2,113.85 shares
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 63.9% 3,287.36 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 36.8% 2,715.99 shares
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

No 99.1% 2,000 shares
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

No 99.2% 795.77 shares
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

No 99.2% 500 shares