Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.02
- Potential profit
- $49.02
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
Palomara
0x6ff990ed2f722e645cc11fd25babf557d7b6a12a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.85
- Realized PnL
- -$47.64
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $20.85
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$71.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82% 24.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 51% 49.02 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 28.6% 141.71 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 79% 141.72 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?No 66% 176.32 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?No 64% 176.33 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?No 86% 134.05 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?No 79% 134.05 shares
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No 81.4% 132.4 shares
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No 81.6% 132.41 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 84.4% 125.88 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 82.6% 125.89 shares