Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Polymarket Trader
Darvin777
0x6ffa3f243a105c0c283482ef9ca999d71c57b3c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16K
- Realized PnL
- -$15.14K
- Win rate
- 13.6%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $766.11
- Potential payout
- $10.21K
- Potential profit
- $9.45K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$47.9
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.49K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$145.25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $378.14
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.86
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$615.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.63
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$17.58
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.83
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.03
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$80.44
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$145.73
Yes position
Russia announces air truce by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$223.78
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$231.99
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$254.17
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$363.25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$429.13
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$769.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$936.46
No position
Nothing Ever Happens
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$969.17
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.44K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.57K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 3,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes 13.9% 3,025.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 7,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 1,522.22 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.4% 4,501.02 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 9% 1,522.22 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 31.1% 909.09 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 33% 909.09 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 5,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 11% 5,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes 4% 12,497.05 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 20.1% 995.06 shares