Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $22.7
- Potential payout
- $105.56
- Potential profit
- $82.86
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.31
Polymarket Trader
0x7010...eede
0x701074c3b7452fa62fa787a1a08c7b3ad644eede
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $143.14
- Realized PnL
- $369.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $5.62
- Potential payout
- $97.82
- Potential profit
- $92.19
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $35.78
- Potential payout
- $95.4
- Potential profit
- $59.63
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $22.42
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $30.88
- Potential payout
- $60.54
- Potential profit
- $29.66
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $39.61
- Potential profit
- $38.24
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.1%
- Current value
- $13.35
- Potential payout
- $24.23
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- Multiplier
- 1.81x
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $17.6
- Potential payout
- $17.73
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $6.45
- Potential payout
- $15.91
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Yes position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $7.72
- Potential payout
- $14.57
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
N
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.34
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.39
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.68
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.58
N
No position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $17.41
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $16.69
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $16.33
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $16.02
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.09
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.55
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $7.58
Brendan Allen position
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $7.31
Yes position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $6.34
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $6.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 65% 0.02 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 65% 0.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 65% 0.14 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 65% 0.37 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 64% 14.17 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 58% 59.18 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 67% 14.93 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 65% 5.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 46% 5.13 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 46% 6.48 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 46% 2.1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 53% 0.31 shares