Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $966.89
- Potential payout
- $966.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $493.93
Polymarket Trader
0x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262
0x702226b14b65b1c8d05ff51759e095f09932f64e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.93K
- Realized PnL
- $55.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.6%
- Current value
- $628.45
- Potential payout
- $830.85
- Potential profit
- $202.4
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $58.37
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $376.67
- Potential payout
- $827.84
- Potential profit
- $451.17
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $206.44
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $724.62
- Potential payout
- $800.68
- Potential profit
- $76.06
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $232.48
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $72.54
- Potential payout
- $763.56
- Potential profit
- $691.02
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$38.67
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $566.98
- Potential payout
- $713.63
- Potential profit
- $146.65
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$40.78
No position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $661.03
- Potential profit
- $661.03
- User PnL
- -$134.63
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $438.44
- Potential payout
- $640.06
- Potential profit
- $201.62
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $255
No position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $555.06
- Potential payout
- $555.89
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- User PnL
- $24.28
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $550.75
- Potential profit
- $549.1
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$83.09
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $544.05
- Potential profit
- $544.05
- User PnL
- -$296.92
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $123.87
- Potential payout
- $538.55
- Potential profit
- $414.69
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$48.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $493.63
- Potential payout
- $494.87
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- User PnL
- $115.22
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $405.03
- Potential payout
- $470.96
- Potential profit
- $65.93
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $25.19
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $468.99
- Potential payout
- $468.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $213.02
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $456.13
- Potential profit
- $456.13
- User PnL
- -$223.1
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $425.11
- Potential payout
- $425.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $139.68
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $403.74
- Potential profit
- $403.74
- User PnL
- -$86.76
No position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $388.47
- Potential payout
- $400.69
- Potential profit
- $12.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $22.49
Yes position
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $180.83
- Potential payout
- $380.7
- Potential profit
- $199.87
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$87.98
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $361.9
- Potential payout
- $365
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- User PnL
- $6.41
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $356.39
- Potential payout
- $362
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $353.69
- Potential payout
- $356
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $36.9
- Potential payout
- $351.42
- Potential profit
- $314.52
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $3.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.99K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 76% 12 shares
- Will Samira Sagr win Big Brother Brasil 26?No 97.5% 12 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?Yes 18% 8 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 29% 10 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US 52% 6 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes 33% 35 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 68% 47 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 19% 29 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?Yes 51% 5 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 19% 9 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?Yes 51% 5 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?Yes 49% 23.56 shares