No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $184.39
- Potential payout
- $550.42
- Potential profit
- $366.03
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$13.03
Polymarket Trader
altar07
@altar0_7
0x702817724413a316e67b25aa13200444937fe0e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.08K
- Realized PnL
- $6.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $134.47
- Potential payout
- $165.01
- Potential profit
- $30.54
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $72.1
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $30.9
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $85.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $65.11
- Potential payout
- $91.06
- Potential profit
- $25.95
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $5.01
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $54.58
- Potential payout
- $87.32
- Potential profit
- $32.74
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $22.75
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $40.78
- Potential payout
- $59.54
- Potential profit
- $18.76
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $35.64
- Potential payout
- $56.13
- Potential profit
- $20.49
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.28
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $49.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $33.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $34.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $29.39
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $32.56
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $17.1
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.6
N
No position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $15.86
- Potential payout
- $28.33
- Potential profit
- $12.47
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $18.05
- Potential payout
- $25.6
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $17.6
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $14.39
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $6.62
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.37
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.3
N
No position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $12.55
- Potential payout
- $19.77
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $14.94
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $16.07
- Potential payout
- $16.98
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.26
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $585.43
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.35
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.24
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.21
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $408.35
Yes position
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-28?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.44
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.67
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.26
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.7
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.87
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.95
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.93
No position
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.97
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.16
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.04
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.55
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.24
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No 82% 115.01 shares
- Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?No 69% 65 shares
- Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?No 91% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?No 75% 30 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No 95.1% 16.98 shares
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 71% 10 shares
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No 42% 15 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?No 73% 16 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?No 65% 55 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 33% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 69% 8 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 86% 60 shares