Polymarket Trader

knasonov

0x703369b4b8abc8bc50108815e4ef2064437a3f7d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $212.6
Realized PnL: $641.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $212.6
Potential payout: $270.83
Potential profit: $58.23
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$36.56

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.05
Potential profit: $244.05
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Russia announces air truce by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $116
User PnL: -$54.95

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang join the America Party?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $65.22
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $59.52
User PnL: -$50

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.57
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.76
Potential profit: $26.76
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in October?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.14
Potential profit: $15.14
User PnL: -$6.51

No position

Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $11.24
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.77

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.91

No position

Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.59

No position

Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Yes position

Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.78

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.2

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.96

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

Yes position

Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,250 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

No position

Megaquake in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

No position

1,200+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Yes position

Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 92% 270.83 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

No 99.6% 49.29 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?

No 99.1% 100 shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Yes 86% 30 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

No 78% 20 shares
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

No 87.4% 20 shares
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?

No 69% 20 shares
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?

No 94% 20 shares
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?

No 90% 20 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

No 40.6% 49.29 shares
Pakistan strike on India by December 31?

No 86% 34.88 shares
Hillary Clinton federally charged by December 31?

No 94% 21.28 shares